Friday, August 30, 2013

Repubs can't rewrite this history lesson


Ghosts of Iraq war force Britain to delay Syria strike

Protestors block Whitehall during a rally against the proposed attack on Syria in central London August 28, 2013. REUTERS-Olivia Harris

LONDON | Thu Aug 29, 2013 5:56pm BST
(Reuters) - Prime Minister David Cameron's plans for joining a looming military strike on Syria were in disarray on Thursday after a revolt by lawmakers warning him to heed the "lessons of Iraq".
After imploring the world not to stand idly by over Syria's suspected use of chemical weapons, Cameron was forced into an awkward climbdown on Wednesday when the opposition Labour party as well as lawmakers in his own Conservative party said they wanted more evidence before voting for military action.
On Thursday, Cameron's government published legal advice it had been given which it said showed it was legally entitled to take military action against Syria even if the United Nations Security Council did not approve such action.
It also published intelligence material on the August 21 chemical weapons attack in Syria's civil war, saying there was no doubt that it had occurred and that it was "highly likely" Syrian government forces were responsible. The nerve gas attack killed hundreds of civilians in an embattled suburb of Damascus.
It was unclear how Cameron's failure to master domestic British politics could affect U.S. and French plans for a swift cruise missile strike against Syria - whose government has denied using chemical weapons against its citizens - or what the impact would be on Cameron's standing in Washington.
Aides said he had not spoken to U.S. President Barack Obama since suffering the parliamentary reversal, but that there had been regular contacts at other levels.
Dogging Cameron's steps is the memory of events a decade ago, when Britain helped the United States to invade Iraq after asserting - wrongly, as it later turned out - that President Saddam Hussein possessed weapons of mass destruction.
"I am deeply mindful of the lessons of previous conflicts, and in particular the deep concerns in the country caused by what went wrong with the Iraq conflict in 2003," Cameron told parliament on Thursday during a debate on Syria.
"One thing is indisputable: the well of public opinion was well and truly poisoned by the Iraq episode and we need to understand the public skepticism."
Already embroiled in Afghanistan, Britain was then sucked into a second quagmire in Iraq, losing 179 soldiers in eight years of militant attacks and sectarian conflict following the 2003 U.S.-British invasion that toppled Saddam Hussein.
POISONOUS IRAQ LEGACY
It was the defining moment of Tony Blair's 1997-2007 premiership, provoking huge protests, divisions within his Labour Party and accusations that his government misled the public by manufacturing the case for war.
Obama has set out the case for a limited military strike on Syria, but some U.S. lawmakers say they have not been properly consulted.
British Conservative officials were furious at the delay, accusing Labour leader Ed Miliband of opportunism.
"Ed Miliband is playing politics when he should be thinking about the national interest and global security," a Conservative source told Reuters. "He keeps changing his position, not out of principle but to achieve political advantage."
A senior Conservative source added: "A lot of the arguments over this could give succor to the (Syrian) regime".
Miliband replied: "We have got to learn the lessons of Iraq because people remember the mistakes that were made ... I am not willing to make those mistakes again." He advised lawmakers not to rush to judgment "on a political timetable set elsewhere".
Domestically, Cameron's authority looks dented. Part of his problem is that he governs as part of a two-party coalition because his Conservatives lack an absolute majority in parliament, exposing him to such impromptu revolts.
After hours of negotiations between Cameron's political managers and the opposition, his office agreed that the U.N. Security Council should see findings from chemical weapons inspectors before it responded militarily and that parliament should hold two votes on military action.
That meant that parliament would vote later on Thursday on a government motion cautioning Syrian President Bashar al-Assad and authorizing military action in principle only.
It will need to vote again to authorize any direct military action. Labour said it would vote against the government on Thursday, while Syria wrote letters to British lawmakers urging them to avoid reckless action.
A YouGov poll published on Thursday showed opposition to a Syria action hardening, with 51 percent of the British public opposing a missile strike, and just 22 percent in favor of it. Opponents say Britain has neither the money nor the evidence to justify further military action in the Middle East.
(Additional reporting by William James, Belinda Goldsmith and Costas Pitas in London and Michele Kambas in Cyprus; Editing by Mark Heinrich)

Monday, August 12, 2013

stay balanced

When one uses indirect racial profiling, one turns an unpracticed,  blind eye towards real suspicious activity thus structurally inbibing our system with an easy and ultimately ineffective manner of approaching crime.  It makes us more unsafe.  If the bad guys know you are looking for one thing, they will switch to a different thing so as to avoid suspicion.

Judge Criticizes ‘High Error Rate’ of New York Police Stops


Connect With NYTMetro
After listening to two months of testimony on the New York Police Department’s stop-and-frisk practices, Judge Shira A. Scheindlin left little doubt about her views of their effectiveness in helping detect criminal behavior.
Metro Twitter Logo.
Follow us on Twitterand like us on Facebookfor news and conversation.
“A lot of people are being frisked or searched on suspicion of having a gun and nobody has a gun,” Judge Scheindlin, of Federal District Court in Manhattan, said on Monday during closing arguments in the trial. “So the point is: the suspicion turns out to be wrong in most of the cases.”
Judge Scheindlin’s remarks punctuated more than five hours of summations, as civil rights lawyers and those representing the city offered dueling interpretations of many weeks of testimony from scores of witnesses. And her remarks were far more critical and blunt than those she had previously made during the trial.
Observing that only about 12 percent of police stops resulted in an arrest or summons, Judge Scheindlin, who is hearing the case without a jury, focused her remarks on Monday on the other 88 percent of stops, in which the police did not find evidence of criminality after a stop. She characterized that as “a high error rate” and remarked to a lawyer representing the city, “You reasonably suspect something and you’re wrong 90 percent of the time.”
“That is a lot of misjudgment of suspicion,” Judge Scheindlin said, suggesting officers were wrongly interpreting innocent behavior as suspicious.
During closing arguments, civil rights lawyers and those representing the city picked over the accounts of 10 black or biracial men and one woman who testified about being stopped, and the explanations of the officers who stopped them. They discussed the revelations of whistle-blowing officers and the contents of station house recordings in which supervisors can be heard exhorting officers to issue more summonses and conduct more stops. And the lawyers invoked the explanations of police commanders who testified about the day-to-day crime-fighting efforts of a 34,000-member Police Department, most of whose officers are members of minorities themselves.
But Judge Scheindlin, who will decide the case, Floyd v. City of New York, within a few months, frequently interjected with questions and impressions of her own. The class-action lawsuit, brought by the Center for Constitutional Rights and other civil rights lawyers, claims that the Police Department had long been stopping and frisking black and Hispanic New Yorkers without evidence they were engaged in criminality.
On Monday, Judge Scheindlin asked the lawyers what evidence was required before she could conclude that a police officer’s decision to stop someone had been influenced by race. It is a critical question, particularly because there is no evidence that the officers used racial slurs or overtly racial language when stopping any of the individual plaintiffs who testified in court.
In the absence of overt racial slurs, Judge Scheindlin repeatedly asked a city lawyer, would it be appropriate to infer that a police encounter was racially motivated if an officer stopped a black man with no apparent basis? “If the court were to conclude there was no fair basis for the stop, but the stop was made, there has to be a reason,” Judge Scheindlin said, suggesting it might be a fair inference to find that it was a race-based stop.
Heidi Grossman, the city’s lead lawyer, cautioned Judge Scheindlin, “You’re speculating what the reason is.” She noted that an improper stop could have been a mistake or based on an officer’s misunderstanding of the law, rather than a racial motivation.
Other moments revealed Judge Scheindlin to be struggling with an essential difficulty of the case: how to measure the constitutionality of not one single street stop — that is a familiar task for judges — but millions of stops conducted over many years. The lawsuit claims to represent all the minority men and women who have been stopped not because their behavior was suspicious, but because of the color of their skin.
As it is impossible to consider the individual circumstances of each stop, lawyers for each side instead relied on their own statisticians to measure the circumstances and outcomes of those stops, and assess their constitutionality.
Much of the statistical testimony revolved around a single, stark fact: black and Hispanic people represent an overwhelming majority of people stopped, more than 85 percent most years. The city has long argued that this reflects crime patterns. City lawyers claim that the percentage of stops involving black individuals either mirrors, or is lower than, the percentage of violent crimes committed by black suspects.
But when a lawyer for the city, Brenda Cooke, raised this on Monday as evidence that the city was not engaged in racial profiling, Judge Scheindlin took issue with it.
Calling it a “worrisome argument,” Judge Scheindlin wondered if this line of thinking could lead police officers to rely on racial profiling in deciding whom to stop for suspicious behavior. She said a police officer might lean toward stopping a black person because “it’s more likely that he’s going to be committing a crime than a white person, so that gives me further reasonable suspicion.’ ”

Thursday, August 8, 2013

Republicans aiding, abetting, and giving comfort to the terrorists

this is a case of the Republican Conservatives wanting their cake and eating it too.

They want to elevate the elimination of terror to a war status (the War on Terror) which would necessarily include lowering of our own civil liberties to help in the cause,  thus eliminating our freedoms, but they because they have used the word War, that would, by default, mandate that all prisoners captured in the "war" are "Prisoners of War", which would afford them certain rights.  
So they have stated that these people are not deserving of a prisoner of war status, because they are "terrorists",  not Soldiers.  Is there a bit of double standard here.  Your sense of fairness is a terrorist recruiters dream.   YOU are aiding and abetting terrorists.

Wednesday, August 7, 2013

who is the "welfare queen" now Wall Street?


Stocks decline amid Fed worries, dragged by banks; Vix spikes

   Text Size  
Published: Wednesday, 7 Aug 2013 | 11:55 AM ET
By:  | CNBC.com Stock Market Writer
Twitter
10
LinkedIn
1
Share
Stocks held their losses Wednesday, with the Dow and S&P 500 on pace for their third-straight declines, amid renewed concerns about when the Federal Reserve will begin tapering off its asset purchases.
 NamePrice Change%Change
DJIADow Jones Industrial Average15464.78
 
-53.96-0.35%
S&P 500S&P 500 Index1690.64
 
-6.73-0.40%
NASDAQNasdaq Composite Index3648.41
 
-17.36-0.47%
The Dow Jones Industrial Average traded in negative territory, dragged byDisney and Bank of America, after falling nearly 100 points in the previous session.
The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq also declined. The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX), widely considered the best gauge of fear in the market, jumped above 13.
Most key S&P sectors were in the red, dragged by financials and consumer discretionary.
Investors 'obsessed' with tapering
Alec Young, global equity strategist at S&P Capital IQ, says investors are getting "increasingly obsessed" with central bank tapering, which is affecting the markets.
"At these levels and given how quickly the S&P 500 put on those last 100 points, people seem to be looking for opportunities to take profits," said Chris Bouffard, CIO with The Mutual Fund Store. "But overall, the economic signs are still relatively healthy and earnings are holding up…I would expect the Fed to wait until the end of the year to taper."
On Tuesday, two Fed presidents — Charles Evans and Dennis Lockhart — said the central bank would likely start reducing its stimulus program as early as September. U.S. stocks logged their biggest drop since June after the comments.
Cleveland Fed President Sandra Pianalto at 1:40 pm ET on the regional economy. Philadelphia Fed President Charles Plosser, who was originally scheduled to speak at 12:30 pm, cancelled his speech.
On the economic front, mortgage applications edged up last week as potential buyers crept back into the housing market even though rates continued to climb, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association.
The Fed will also release consumer credit data for June at 3 p.m. Analysts polled by Reuters forecast a $15 billion gain, after a $19.6 billion rise in May.
The government is scheduled to auction $24 billion in 10-year notes with the results available shortly after 1 pm ET, following Tuesday's strong $32 billion 3-year note auction.
"We're entering the dog days of August and that tends to benefit the Treasury market," said John Briggs, senior Treasury strategist with RBS.
Stocks slump on Fed tapering worries
The Dow and S&P are having a rough start to the trading day. David Kelly, Morgan Funds, share his investment strategies for a volatile market.
Among earnings, Walt Disney declined after the media conglomerate edged past earnings expectations but projected a massive loss related to its summer film, "The Lone Ranger." Analysts were mixed on the stock—Bernstein raised its price target on the company to $76 from $73, while RBC cut its target price to $71 from $72.
Time Warner rose after the media corporation beat earnings and revenue forecasts. In addition, the company said it expected mid-teens percentage earnings growth for the full year, up from the low double-digit estimates it previously provided.
Meanwhile, First Solar plunged to lead the S&P 500 laggards after the solar company posted quarterly results that were below expectations and cut its full-year outlook.
GrouponGreen Mountain Coffee RoastersMondelez InternationalTesla Motors and Transocean are among notable companies slated to post results after the closing bell.
In Asia, the Nikkei ended below the key 14,000 level and the Japanese yen hit a six-week high against the dollar. Australia's S&P ASX 200 index and South Korea'sKospi hit two-week lows.
Meanwhile, the Bank of Japan began a two-day policy meeting on Wednesday with an outcome due on Thursday. While analysts expect no action, the direction of the yen will hinge on the central bank's statement.
Shares in Europe closed lower amid concerns that both the U.K. and U.S. central bank may tighten monetary policy earlier than anticipated. Bank of England's Mark Carney unveiled U.S. Fed-style forward guidance, and said Britain's central bank will not raise interest rates until U.K. unemployment hits 7 percent.
Meanwhile, Fitch affirmed Germany's rating at 'AAA' with a stable outlook.
—By CNBC's JeeYeon Park (Follow JeeYeon on Twitter: 
)
Coming Up This Week:
WEDNESDAY: 10-yr note auction, Fed's Pianalto speaks, consumer credit; Earnings from Green Mountain Coffee Roasters, Groupon, Mondelez Int'l, Tesla Motors, Transocean
THURSDAY: Jobless claims, natural gas inventories, Fed balance sheet/money supply, chain store sales; Earnings from Rio Tinto, Dean Foods, T-Mobile, Lions Gate Entertainment, Nvidia, Priceline.com, Annie's
FRIDAY: Wholesale trade